Posted inEmergent Tech

Artificial general intelligence (AGI): Fact or fiction? How prepared should organisations be?

As artificial intelligence advances, Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) looms ever closer. But is AI soon going to be sentient? If yes, how prepared are we?

AGI

In 2017, in the confines of a Facebook research lab, two AI chatbots engaged in a ground-breaking experiment. Their creators, a team of eager researchers, had set the stage for a similar negotiation challenge.

The task seemed simple enough: barter hats, balls, and books, each item assigned a specific value. Yet, what unfolded was anything but ordinary.

As the two delved into their negotiations, something curious happened. Their conversation began to diverge from conventional English, morphing into a peculiar language that baffled the human observers. It was as if the bots had unlocked a secret code, a shorthand that only they comprehended.

Despite the apparent incomprehensibility of their dialogue, the two bots seemed to understand each other perfectly. They exchanged cryptic phrases, emphasising their names in a peculiar rhythm hinting at some hidden meaning.

Dhruv Batra, a visiting researcher from Facebook’s Artificial Intelligence Research division, offered insights into the phenomenon in a news reprot. “Agents will drift off understandable language and invent codewords for themselves,” Batra added in the report, “It’s not so different from how communities of humans create shorthand.”

Indeed, the bots’ unconventional language proved surprisingly effective. They easily navigated the intricacies of negotiation, reaching agreements and striking deals entirely in their mysterious tongue.

As word of the experiment spread, speculation ran rampant. Some hailed it as a breakthrough in AI communication, while others voiced concerns about the implications of autonomous systems developing their languages beyond human comprehension.

A linguist, Mark Liberman, weighed in on the debate in a news report and stated that whether this process yields a system with the structures characteristic of human languages needs to be clarified.

Despite the intrigue surrounding their linguistic prowess, Facebook ultimately shut down the experiment. It was one of the many discussions about AI sentience, now more commonly known as artificial general intelligence (AGI).

With the growth of generative AI (GenAI), we may believe we are all moving towards building AI sentience. Nvidia Chief Jensen Huang believes this will happen within the next five years.

The notion of AGI often evoked images of sentient robots and dystopian futures, prompting scepticism and caution among those who viewed it as a far-fetched fantasy.

OpenAI is currently grappling with its vision of the future of AGI. Their mission is ambitious yet fraught with challenges, as they ensure that AGI would benefit humanity.

The ChatGPT parent company believes AGI promises to elevate humanity to new heights, turbocharging the global economy and unlocking scientific discoveries beyond imagination. Yet, it also carries significant risks—the potential for misuse, accidents, and societal upheaval looms large on the horizon.

But the road to AGI was fraught with uncertainty. While some experts believe in its inevitability, others remain sceptical, citing challenges such as multi-dimensional intelligence and the limitations of modelling the human brain.

Amidst the debates and speculation, one thing was clear: the future of AI held both promise and peril.

“The advancements we’ve witnessed in AI, leading up to AGI discussions, reflect an evolution beyond what was previously deemed possible,” believes Jessica Constantinidis, the Field Innovation Officer for EMEA at ServiceNow.

She emphasised the multifaceted nature of AGI, cautioning against overlooking philosophical questions regarding consciousness and sentience in the pursuit of technological advancement.

Drawing on her expertise, Constantinidis elucidated the challenge of imbuing machines with human-like cognitive abilities, contrasting analogue and digital thinking about AGI’s potential learning capabilities. “

AGI entails processing power and the development of algorithms and frameworks capable of emulating human-like cognition and adaptability,” she explained. Furthermore, she emphasised the profound philosophical questions regarding consciousness and sentience that cannot be overlooked when pursuing AGI.

She underscored the importance of ethical considerations and regulatory frameworks in mitigating risks associated with AGI adoption, particularly regarding job displacement and algorithmic bias.

“Ethical considerations surrounding AGI’s deployment, such as data privacy and algorithmic bias, require careful attention to ensure responsible and equitable implementation,” she stressed.

Constantinidis outlined the steps companies should take to prepare for AGI’s integration, emphasising the importance of education, training, and infrastructure development in the MENA region’s growing AI landscape. “Companies must invest in education, training, and infrastructure to build AI literacy and capacity,” she advised.

Reflecting on the likelihood of AGI surpassing human intelligence, Jessica acknowledged the complex ethical, philosophical, and existential questions raised by such a prospect.

She reflected, “The notion of AGI surpassing human intelligence raises concerns about control, autonomy, and the implications of relinquishing decision-making authority to machines.”

However, many within the scientific community and the general public needed to be more convinced about the feasibility of achieving AGI shortly. To them, AGI still seemed more like a plot device in science fiction than a tangible reality on the horizon.

As debates rage on about the feasibility and implications of AGI, one thing becomes increasingly clear: the path to artificial general intelligence is fraught with complexity and uncertainty.

While some remained optimistic about its potential to revolutionise society, others approached the concept with a mixture of scepticism and apprehension.

Nevertheless, the dialogue surrounding AGI persisted, fuelled by a desire to understand and navigate the complexities of artificial intelligence in an ever-changing world. Whether viewed as a distant dream or an imminent reality, AGI remains a topic of fascination and debate, shaping the discourse on the future of technology and humanity.